Roll Call's most vulnerable Reps in 2016: -1. Ami Bera (R,CA, 7th CD);2. Brad Ashford (D, former R); 3. Rod Blum (R,IA,1st CD); 4. Cresent Hardy (R,NV,4th CD); 5. David Jolly (R, FL, 13th CD); 6. Frank Guinta (R,NH, 1st CD); 7. Robert Dold (R, IL, 19tg CD); 8. John Katko (R, NY 24th CD); 9. Lee Zeldin (R, NY, 1st CD); 10. Carlos Curbelo (R, FL, 26th CD); 11. Bruce poliquin (R, ME, 2nd CD); 12. David Young (R, IA, 3rd CD). Democrats must net 30 seats to win a majority in the House.
Sen. Marco Rubio (FL, R) may decide to run for re-election to the Senate after all. Rep. David Jolly (FL, R) has bowed out of the race and will now run for the House again. Jolly will be pitted against former Gov. Charlie Crist (D). Redistricting has changed the profile of his district, adding Democratic voters. (Politico).
Marquette Univ. Poll: WI – Clinton 46, Trump 37.
Marquette Univ. Poll: WI – Feingold (D) -51, Johnson (Incumbent, R) – 42.
Gallup Poll: President Obama Job Approval – 53; Disapprove -44.
Bloomberg Poll: General Election: Clinton- 49, Trump- 37, Johnson- 11.
CBS News Poll: General Election: Clinton- 39, Trump- 32, Johnson-11 (RealClearPolitics)
Tuesday elections to watch (The Hill):
NC - District 2 – Redistricting pits Rep. Renee Ellmers (R) against Rep. George Holding (R).
NC- District 3 – Rep.Walter Jones faces a rematch against Taylor Griffin
NC – District 9 – Can Rep. two-term Rep. Robert Pittenger hold on to his seat
CA- District 17 – Rep. Mike Honda (D), faces serious challenge by Ro Khanna (D
CA – District –24 Race to succeed retiring Rep. Lois Caps. GOP State Rep. Katcho Achadjian and Supervisor Salud Carbajal (D) will likely be on the November ballot.
IA – District 1 – Freshman Rep. Rod Blum (R) will probably face City Councilwoman Monica Vernon (D).
2016 Senate Races to Watch: - Pure Toss-up Ayotte (R,NH), FL Open (Rubio, R), NV Open (Reid,D); Toss-up/Tilt Dem: Johnson (R, WI); Toss-Up/Tilt Repub: Portman (R, OH), Toomey (R, PA); Lean Dem: Kirk (R,IL); Lean Repub: Burr (R,NC); Dem Favored: Bennet (D,CO); Rep Favored: Blunt (R,MO); McCain (R,AZ); IN Open (Coats,R). The remainder of the Senate seats are Safe Dem and Safe Repub. (Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report)