Monday, 17 September 2018

2018 House Ratings - According to Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales, there are 14 Republican and 2 Democratic “toss-up” districts:
CA 39 (Open, Royce, R); CA 48 (Rohrabacher, R); CO 6 (Coffman, R); IA 3 (Young, R); IL 6(Roskam, R); KS 3 (Yoder, R); KY 6(Barr, R); MI 11(Open, Trott, R); MN 1(Open, Walz, DFL); MN 2 (Lewis, R); MN 8 (Open, Nolan, DFL); NJ 3(MacArthur, R); NY 19(Faso, R); NY 22(Tenney, R); TX 32(Sessions, R); WA 8(Open, Reichert, R)

Sunday, 16 September 2018

According to 6 national polls in September, President Trump’s disapproval rating is over 50%.
His approval rating is considerably lower:
Rasmussen – 45%; Economist/YouGov – 44%; CNN – 36%; Quinnipiac – 38%; NPRMarist – 38%; Gallup – 40%.
According to CNN: "Among independents, the drop has been sharper, from 47% approval last month to 31% now. (Mullings Report).

Thursday, 30 August 2018

Florida Gubernatorial Election - Surprise victory, brutal general election. Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (FL,D), African-American, supported by Senator Bernie Sanders, won a surprise Democratic Primary victory. He will face Rep. Ron DeSantis (Fl, R), supported by President Donald Trump.


Tuesday, 21 August 2018

8/18/2018 - 2018 House Ratings from Nathan Gonzales, Inside Elections – The following are seats that are a Toss-Up (12R, 2D): CA 39 (Open; Royce, R); CA 48 (Rohrabacher, R); CO 6 (Coffman,R); IA1 (Blum, R); MI 11 (Open, Trott, R); MN 1 (Open, Walz, DFL); MN 2(Lewis, R); MN 8 (Open, Nolan, DFL); NY 19 (Faso, R); NY 22 (Tenney, R); TX 32 (Sessions, R).
In total, Gonzales thinks Republicans are defending 76 seats to Democrats defending 10 seats.

Thursday, 26 July 2018

Elections to watch - AZ – Open Senate Seat (Sen. Jeff Flake- R, AZ) – Rep. Primary -Rep. Martha McSally (R) facing former St. Sen. Kelli Ward (R). McSally didn’t back Trump in 2016. And Ward is an immigration hard-liner and fervent Trump supporter. Former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio is also running. The winner will face Rep. Krysten Sinema (D, AZ).